Asteroid 2024 YR4 has been cleared as an Earth threat, but updated observations show a small chance it could hit the Moon in 2032. Space agencies are monitoring the asteroid closely, expecting new data to narrow uncertainties and determine whether the lunar-impact probability will drop or rise.Asteroid 2024 YR4 has been cleared as an Earth threat, but updated observations show a small chance it could hit the Moon in 2032. Space agencies are monitoring the asteroid closely, expecting new data to narrow uncertainties and determine whether the lunar-impact probability will drop or rise.